By FRED OLUOCH
Even though power rationing in Kenya has come to an end, there are still concern that
the country's continued dependency on hydropower generation could affect its competitiveness as a leading investment destination in the region.
The business community is worried that power shortages will still recur unless the government invests in alternative sources of energy. But of great concern to the manufacturing sector is the high power tariffs that has made production cost in Kenya is one of the highest globally.
According to the managing director of the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM), Betty Maina, Kenya's products are increasingly finding it difficult to compete with those from other countries especially Asia because of the variations in the costs of doing business.
Research by KAM reveals that Kenyan manufacturers for instance, are paying between Sh10 and Sh15 per kilowatt of electricity, their competitors in China and India pay the equivalent of between Sh2.50 and Sh3.80 per kilowatt of electricity. Therefore, this makes their products much cheaper than Kenya's.
In Africa, the cost of electricity in Egypt and South Africa is quite minimal. For example, electricity in Kenya is four times costlier than it is in Egypt which is a major trading partner within the Comesa bloc. This is a major set back for Kenyan manufacturers whose commodities will not be able to compete with those from other countries where the cost of doing business is still low," she said.
But what does the scenario portend for Kenya's competitiveness within the five member countries of East African Community (EAC)? There have been reports that most of the investors that shift base from Kenya to Tanzania, are citing high cost of doing business.
Yet Kenya is not alone given that Uganda and Tanzania are also experiencing power woes of their own. The major problem area for the three countries is that three governments over the years, have had low public investment over the years in generation capacity, transmission and distribution.
The region already has some of the highest power tariffs and any further tariff increments will simply increase the cost of doing business. Experts argue that power tariffs in East Africa are five to 10 times higher than in Egypt or South Africa.
Recently, Ugandan president Yoweri Museveni, conceded at the EAC conference on peace and security that electricity has been a major hindrance to his country's economic takeoff , but that the government has learnt its lessons.
"In the past, we used to rely on outsiders to build the dams for us. Now, we are using our own money to build the dams. I do not share the pessimism that we cannot take off. Uganda is expected a 7 percent economic growth this year despite the global economic crisis," he said at the EAC meeting on peace and security in Kampala.
Still, while President Museveni is bullish that Uganda will soon overcome its electricity problems, Kenya's continued reliance on hydroelectric power that depends on rainfall, is costing the country dearly in terms production time and loss of investment foreign potential.
The recent energy crisis was caused by the persistent drought in the country that resulted in the closure of Masinga Dam in July, the country's main water reservoir. The country relies on hydroelectric plants for 90% of its power generation has continued to record low rainfall, but the government has been faulted for poor planning and bureaucracy that have kept away investments in the power sector.
Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KPLC) argues that the rise in the tariffs is as a result of actual rise in the cost of electricity of about 25 per cent, as well as levies for generator fuel, the rural electrification programme, the Energy Regulatory Commission, forex adjustments and VAT..
The recent drought drastically reduced the country's capacity to generate hydroelectric power, causing a supplier gap of 146 megawatts that the KPLC managed by rationing power and harnessing thermal energy
Every time Kenya suffers power shortages just like in 1999, the government resorts to installing emergency thermoelectric plants, which costs more due to the high cost of fuel required to run them.
Now, the Kenya government is hopeful that electricity supply to become more stable once more players step in to take advantage of the current incentives being offered to the private sector to invest in energy generation projects.
The government track Kenya needs to speed up the generation and use of clean and renewable sources of energy such as wind, solar, biomass and biogas. Despite importing expensive fossil fuels, Kenya has geothermal potential capable of generating about 2000 megawatts.
According to government plans, more than 2,000MW will be added to the national grid with the use of green energy. This is in line with the UN's green energy projects and recommendations that countries in Africa focus on generating power from wind and solar power.
Mid this year, the Africa Development Bank (ADB) injected Sh32 billion into a private consortium to develop an initial 300MW from wind energy in Turkana District, which in the long run is expected to boost the national grid.
According to Ms Maina, the recent increase in electricity tariffs are too high for the industry to absorb and it must be reduced as soon as possible before it causes further damage to the industry.
With the proposed increase by KenGen, the overall effective cost per unit will rise from Ksh. 8 to Ksh. 15per unit for the industrial sector. She argued that the industry cannot risk passing on this cost to consumers because it will reduce their purchasing power resulting in reduced sales. Equally, manufacturers are unable to plan for the future because the effect of fuel cost adjustment has made the cost of production unpredictable as the fuel cost keeps varying every month.
As a result, Kenya';s products have become very uncompetitive, a fact that has adversely affected the export market, with KAM members worried that the high cost of electricity is bound to forestall efforts to industrialise.
"As industries find it unsustainable to operate in the country, they will either shift to friendlier countries or shift into trading, transforming the country into a net importer of consumer goods,"she said.