Experts: Inflation in Kenya to ease


  1. Yohanes Gessesse, Africanews reporter in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
    Kenya's August inflation surprised many when it rose by more than a percentage point to 27.6 percent after falling since May, meanwhile stock market revises recent slide this week. But, analysts expect the inflation to ease again in the coming months.
    RD-Nairobi.jpg
    The rate in east Africa's biggest economy shot to a near 15-year high of 31.5 percent in May, then slumped as food prices fell. But a 3 percent increase last month in electricity and fuel prices pushed it up again.

    "Considering the easing of global commodity prices and the normalization of the Kenyan political economy, we expect food and energy price inflation to subside in the coming months," said Richard Segal, Africa strategist at Renaissance Capital.

    Kenya is still recovering from post-election violence at the start of this year that hit the economy hard. Thousands of farmers were driven from their homes in the turmoil, harvests were destroyed and distribution routes were disrupted. A grand coalition government was forged in April to end the crisis following weeks of negotiations.

    One analyst attributed the recent spike in inflation to excessive liquidity ahead of December's presidential poll, as the main political parties sought funds for their campaigns. "There was an increase in money supply before the election, and that always puts pressure on prices," Terry Ryan, economics professor at Nairobi University, told Reuters. "I see absolutely no way that January inflation will be over 20 percent. It will be below 20 percent."

    Key lending rate


    Last month, Kenya's central bank kept its key lending rate at 9 percent, saying inflationary pressure was a concern. But some industry leaders are frustrated with government efforts.

    "We have got a lot of issues here in terms of cost of doing business," said Vimal Shah, chairman of the Kenya Association of Manufacturers, highlighting the sharp increase in energy costs.

    In a related development, trading at the stock market took an upwards turn on Tuesday when the NSE 20 share index went up by 12.16 points to close at 4634.77.

    On Monday the market index had shed 26.17 points to close at 4622.61 causing panic to investors. On the side, the New All Share Index (NASI), also jumped by 0.04 points to close at 97.208, compared to 97.167 points which it had registered on Monday.

    Market analysts however noted that the change was still a lower margin compared to what the market lost on Monday. “The increase is still minimal compared to the drop we experienced the other day. However all this is just the normal fluctuation we experience in the market. Nothing has changed fundamentally,” said Mr David Mworia of Prudential Financials.



Latest News

  1. OPINION: Welcome to African Green Revolution24/05For the past century and a half, Africa has tried various agricultural approaches without much success.
  2. Egyptians vote in historic election23/05Egyptians began voting freely on Wednesday for the first time to pick their president in a wide open election that pits Islamists against men who serv…
  3. Africa Day 2012 - a moment for reflection and…22/0525th May is Africa Day. For many years it has been a celebration of African unity. It dates back to 1963 when the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) …
  4. South Africa's African agenda21/05The Deputy President of the Republic of South Africa, Kgalema Mothlanthe paid a rare visit to Ghana in April at the invitation of John Dramani Mahama …
  5. Women struggle to rinse hunger, poverty stains21/05Just looking at her one clearly appreciates that she is old and frail therefore in need of support for food, clothing and shelter to live comfortably …
  6. Climate Climate change affects migratory birds…21/05Changes in the climate globally have affected the movement of both migratory and resident species of birds, Nature Uganda has said.
  7. Ghana: Foreign retailers cited for currency…18/05The Ghana Union of Traders Association (GUTA) is attributing the sharp depreciation of the Ghana cedi against major currencies to the illegal activiti…
  8. Kenya: Community radio brings succour to…18/05Korogocho, a slum in northeastern Nairobi with 100,000 inhabitants, had many of the ingredients for a political explosion similar to those that rocked…
  9. Veld fires 'flame' Zimbabwe's…16/05Over the years, Zimbabwe has experienced the scourge of veld fires destroying property worth thousands of dollars.
  10. Liberia commends ECOWAS for support14/05The induction training of pioneer Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Volunteers for Liberia kicked off in Monrovia, with the Deputy Mi…
  11. Vanishing Lake Chad puts 30m lives at risk14/05As you approach the Lake Chad basin from Maiduguri, in north-eastern Nigeria, the evidence of despair is telling.
  12. Heavy rains cause havoc in Kenya14/05Heavy Rainfall continued to wreak havoc across the country leading to the suspension of relief food in some parts of the country as most roads in Turk…
  13. Zimbabwe: Growth points lie dormant14/05The Zimbabwean government mooted the concept of growth points in the 1980s as a means of decongesting cities and towns.
  14. Sierra Leone improves in infant mortality11/05Sierra Leone has improved in infant mortality cases according to Save the Children- World Motherhood index 2012 report. The West Africa country descri…
  15. Zimbabwe: Resettled farmers fail to utilize…10/05Resettled farmers in Zimbabwe are failing to utilize land due to inadequate farming inputs and lack of resources.
News archive